95_Theses

It’s About the Future

climate lies discovered

Posted by Citizen on August 11, 2007

There are scandals upon scandals in climate politics. There are “scientists” who’ve given up scientific inquiry and completely sold out to the nuttiest fringe of the issue. More’s the pity because there are actual benefits to ascertaining the evidential truth of the matter. Lying on purpose and covering up the lies and lying about the cover-up doesn’t contribute to facts supported by evidence.

For the record I think there are cycles of climate change with ample evidence to support that view. I don’t think there is one bit of conclusive evidence that human activity is responsible for altering those cycles, and I am sceptical enough to doubt that humans have the capability of altering and managing the climate changes we observe. Enough about me, how about some facts for a change?

 Years of bad data corrected; 1998 no longer the warmest year on record

My earlier column this week detailed the work of a volunteer team to assess problems with US temperature data used for climate modeling. One of these people is Steve McIntyre, who operates the site climateaudit.org. While inspecting historical temperature graphs, he noticed a strange discontinuity, or “jump” in many locations, all occurring around the time of January, 2000.

These graphs were created by NASA’s Reto Ruedy and James Hansen (who shot to fame when he accused the administration of trying to censor his views on climate change). Hansen refused to provide McKintyre with the algorithm used to generate graph data, so McKintyre reverse-engineered it. The result appeared to be a Y2K bug in the handling of the raw data.

McKintyre notified the pair of the bug; Ruedy replied and acknowledged the problem as an “oversight” that would be fixed in the next data refresh. NASA has now silently released corrected figures, and the changes are truly astounding. The warmest year on record is now 1934. 1998 (long trumpeted by the media as record-breaking) moves to second place.  1921 takes third. In fact, 5 of the 10 warmest years on record now all occur before World War II.  Anthony Watts has put the new data in chart form, along with a more detailed summary of the events.

Honest people will take note of the details that are highlighted in the pull quote and then read the original and then read the supporting evidence and come to their own conclusions about who the liars are.

The believers, the algoreites and their ilk, will obfuscate, or just scream and lie. Perhaps an honest handful will reassess the noise and see through the scam. Reality is both simpler and more complex than most pundits let on.

In case you suspect me of exaggerating claims, this spot provides a good follow up on the cover ups. It’s positively shameful that junk science is so cheap and common, and it’s stupefying how sheepish their followers actually are..,

citizen

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